Agonizing-Railing
0x4092a9d0a0d7bea40730a2d620396b7217b95025
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$30.03
Total PnL
$-4.08
Realised
$-0.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- WICKED
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?
13 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$12.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$4.62
$1.62
- NO
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.58
$0.00
- YES
Will Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.56
$0.00
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in November 2025?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Barron Trump public statement before July?
2 shares @ 89.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$279.44Nov 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$3.00Nov 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$11.00Nov 14, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?$3.00Nov 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?$283.30Nov 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?$302.14Nov 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?$304.40Nov 14, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in November 2025?$4.00Nov 14, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$1.01Nov 14, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25?$1.00Sep 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with MrBeast in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025?$2.00Sep 26, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.05Sep 26, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMRepublika Srpska declares independence?$1.08Sep 26, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill America be profitable any month in 2025?$1.08Sep 26, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis step down before July? $1.09Sep 26, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMTom Cruise and Ana de Armas confirmed relationship by April?$2.07Sep 26, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis step down before July? $1.00Apr 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Pope before July?$1.00Apr 3, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarron Trump public statement before July?$2.00Apr 3, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $38.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 16, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.