Staid-Dividend
0x409382dcbf0aefd3c8c9a9646873f9d72c7b4137
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$80.52
Total PnL
$-69.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US recession in 2025?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$43.48
$23.48
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.04
$17.04
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
236 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-55.46
- YES
Is John McAfee alive?
150 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$0.00Jul 8, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$0.00Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before July?$21.74Jul 7, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$55.46Jun 25, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: June$0.00Jun 25, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 25, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$13.16Jun 25, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$10.00Jun 10, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$10.00Jun 10, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$20.00Jun 10, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.00Jun 10, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110K in June?$30.77Jun 10, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$20.00Jun 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110K in June?$20.00Jun 1, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?$10.00Jun 1, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?$0.00Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMElon out of Trump administration before July?$0.00Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?$0.00Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $13.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 09:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.