Plastic-Lung
0x40959e2c88d53fcb1a2d04cce23520c2f0658f8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-31.76
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.23
$-0.01
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?
11200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?
1550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 0% and 3% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Komeito hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.71May 14, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$6.95May 8, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 600 or more times September 5–12?$1.55Sep 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1700 in July?$11.20Jul 31, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$2.00Jul 31, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?$1.00Jul 3, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMTwins vs. Tigers$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Hillary Clinton?$2.00Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Braves$2.56Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?$3.00Jun 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?$5.00Jun 27, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Komeito hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?$1.00Jun 27, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".