Careless-Casserole
0x409973fe2f2f5e8ce076c5d3f8d7e691ae75b70d
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$21.05
Total PnL
$-81.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- KINGS
Kings vs. Red Wings
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$10.64
$5.64
- SABRES
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$10.42
$5.42
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- FIZIEV
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$1.40Feb 8, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$15.00Feb 1, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.00Feb 1, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Bruins$5.00Jan 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSabres vs. Maple Leafs$5.00Jan 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Red Wings$5.00Jan 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Panthers (-1.5)$1.00Jan 28, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?$1.00Jan 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8-10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 6-8 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?$20.00Jan 26, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Jan 26, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?$5.00Jan 25, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-25?$5.00Jan 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLCapitals vs. Oilers$29.97Jan 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Oilers$3.30Jan 25, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$1.49Jan 25, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $6.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 04:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.