Burly-Innocent
0x409cebcec94d5da9a0e3f2ff5d0381333db12b8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will MrBeast's animal charity video get less than 15 million views on day 1?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
36 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Nov 1?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Microsoft say "OpenAI" during earnings call?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift hold 6 or more spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TEXANS
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMBoxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis$1.09Mar 17, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$0.77Nov 1, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by December 31?$0.57Nov 1, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$2.04Oct 30, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing - Jake Paul vs. Gervonta Davis$1.00Oct 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's animal charity video get less than 15 million views on day 1?$1.00Oct 25, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLHeat vs. Grizzlies$2.36Oct 25, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Nov 1?$1.00Oct 24, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%?$1.00Oct 24, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by December 31?$1.00Oct 24, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrokipedia released by October 31?$1.00Oct 24, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Oct 24, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift hold 6 or more spots in the Billboard Hot 100 Top 10 for the week of November 1, 2025?$1.00Oct 24, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$2.00Oct 24, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Grizzlies$1.00Oct 24, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.00Oct 24, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "OpenAI" during earnings call?$2.00Oct 24, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$2.00Oct 21, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition$1.00Oct 20, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.