Grand-Elicit
0x409d7e08fe632120e38f72adff820d88f2b57789
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-419.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on February 4?
845 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 31°F or below on February 4?
180 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
126 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or higher on February 4?
122 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 52-53°F on February 4?
78 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
70 shares @ 70.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.46
- TEAM NEMESIS
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - Exort Cataclysm Playoffs
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$16.40Feb 5, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$16.50Feb 5, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2PM ET$26.76Feb 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 4, 2PM ET$20.00Feb 4, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$50.00Feb 4, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$58.00Feb 4, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$15.42Feb 4, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$0.00Feb 4, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$12.79Feb 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?$10.00Feb 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$8.00Feb 4, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Feb 4, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Feb 4, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $19.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".