Fluffy-Paramedic
0x40a7369e397f0a785eb3678c7f66b4b22834faa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$6.77
Total PnL
$0.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.01
$0.21
- NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.93
$0.03
- NO
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.83
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Apr 27, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$552.35Mar 31, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$551.18Mar 29, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$551.18Mar 28, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$550.63Mar 24, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$5.00Mar 20, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.80Mar 20, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$1.80Mar 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$1.90Mar 20, 12:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $277.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 12:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.