Muddy-Deployment
0x40a75505ba4e7deb9bf55e839e5a34dd6c9becb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$379.08
Realised
$794.61
Win rate
66%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Will Curacao reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
980 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$975.78
$22.53
- NO
Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
791 shares @ 91.1¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$726.17
$5.16
- NO
Will Curacao reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
495 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$485.83
$-2.23
- NO
Will Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
419 shares @ 95.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$392.18
$-6.82
- NO
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 78.7¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$370.01
$-23.58
- NO
Will Czechia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
375 shares @ 93.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$363.94
$13.31
- NO
Will Sweden reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
357 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$348.24
$-0.89
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1732 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$277.98
$-21.94
- CANADA
Spread: Canada (-1.5)
500 shares @ 53.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$257.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
269 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$223.37
$-2.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$17.87Jun 15, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?$750.00Jun 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 1 - 3 Tunisia?$500.00Jun 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia?$1.1KJun 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 0 - 2 Tunisia?$955.82Jun 15, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 3 - 0 Tunisia?$1.8KJun 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 3 - 2 Tunisia?$75.00Jun 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 2 - 3 Tunisia?$3.0KJun 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Sweden 2 - 2 Tunisia?$100.00Jun 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Tunisia (-2.5)$500.00Jun 15, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMSweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$38.00Jun 15, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$6.41Jun 15, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$6.46Jun 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$24.76Jun 15, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sweden 3 - 2 Tunisia?$74.20Jun 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tunisia (-2.5)$127.38Jun 15, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.01Jun 15, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sweden 2 - 2 Tunisia?$99.90Jun 15, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sweden 2 - 3 Tunisia?$749.27Jun 15, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Sweden 2 - 3 Tunisia?$499.51Jun 15, 03:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $272.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.