Possible-Scorn
0x40a99389bdf8054ab64dba17c1a9c3cc55a61898
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$3.45
Total PnL
$-77.12
Realised
$1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.45
$1.45
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
10600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.60
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
547 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 20, 4PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
150 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy visit Russia in 2025?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 15?
71 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
41 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.36Jan 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.14Jan 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$1.50Jan 4, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.00Jan 4, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.00Jan 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$5.00Jan 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$8.42Jan 4, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$4.00Jan 4, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 4, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 4, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$6.11Jan 4, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Jan 4, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Jan 4, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$7.14Jan 4, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.70Nov 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.67Nov 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.00Nov 27, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Nov 27, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 26, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.00Nov 27, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.