Willing-Incarnation
0x40a9b03fd8b1c9e136bccfa01cdb6b9b3c2e1b4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.43
Total PnL
$-188.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- NO
Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Trump signs national abortion ban?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
289 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-189.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?$1.00Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?$1.00Dec 19, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$189.00Dec 7, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLX drops antitrust case in 2024?$190.90Dec 7, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYX drops antitrust case in 2024?$44.80Nov 7, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$45.80Nov 7, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs national abortion ban?$1.00Nov 6, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYX drops antitrust case in 2024?$113.00Sep 1, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$114.00Sep 1, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?$0.02Aug 22, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.01Aug 21, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYX drops antitrust case in 2024?$0.09Aug 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.09Aug 12, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYX drops antitrust case in 2024?$0.01Aug 11, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$146.85Aug 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$146.86Aug 11, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMTesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?$0.00Aug 1, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?$0.00Aug 1, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.99Jul 23, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$0.34Jul 23, 15:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $26.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 25, 01:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".