Formal-Trim
0x40ae031bb378df248505cfbe6a4c979962c633e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.25
Total PnL
$-378.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-9.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
331 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.29
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?
287 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-74.63
- CLIPPERS
Mavericks vs. Clippers
225 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will CA Belgrano win on 2025-11-10?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Haiti vs. Nicaragua end in a draw?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 10?
86 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMNorthwestern vs. USC$0.00Apr 14, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$500.00Dec 19, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcats$54.05Dec 9, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Carolina Tar Heels vs. Kentucky Wildcats$20.00Dec 3, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Spurs$19.92Dec 3, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Spurs$20.00Dec 3, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Warriors$10.00Dec 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Spurs$10.00Dec 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Pelicans$10.00Dec 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Raptors$10.00Dec 2, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. 76ers$10.00Dec 2, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Warriors$0.00Dec 1, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 1, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Astralis (BO3)$3.30Nov 30, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Clippers$2.00Nov 30, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Clippers$1.00Nov 30, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Warriors$10.00Nov 30, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$25.72Nov 30, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Nov 27, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$4.00Nov 27, 03:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $7.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.