First-Hub
0x40b3bf3651bdf54f678c157f442dca6513adb25d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.41
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Jay-Z & Beyoncé divorce in 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Trump divorce in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?$1.06Jul 15, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2.08Jun 17, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025?$1.00Jun 7, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?$1.19Jun 7, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?$2.00Jun 3, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jun 3, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 3, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMMegaquake in May?$1.05Jun 3, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?$1.09May 30, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?$1.00May 19, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?$1.04May 19, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$1.09May 19, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake in May?$1.00May 9, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLDillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?$1.00May 9, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?$1.00May 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$0.99May 8, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?$1.00May 8, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting?$1.02May 6, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?$1.00May 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during the Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders Meeting?$1.00May 2, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 19:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.