Vain-Ephyra
0x40b46bbc69e283e6faeb1a77c3441e406f64a896
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-104.97
Realised
$2.59
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
640 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-22.21
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?
600 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2024$0.00
$-18.14
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-42.60
- NO
RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November?
150 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.72
- NO
Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
20 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
15 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.40Nov 6, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.68Nov 6, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.20Nov 6, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.60Nov 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.77Nov 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.60Nov 6, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.10Nov 6, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.40Nov 6, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.64Nov 6, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.84Nov 6, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$5.00Nov 6, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.47Nov 6, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.03Nov 6, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.32Nov 5, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.20Nov 5, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.70Nov 5, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.80Nov 5, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$0.00Nov 4, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during Virginia rally on Nov 2?$2.00Nov 2, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.95Oct 30, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".