Disastrous-Autoimmunity
0x40b5b0a6df8616dcebb370631e1cea85f7a9f73a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$16.16
Total PnL
$-22.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$9.09
$8.09
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.48
$-0.02
- YES
Will Ferrari win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ollie Watkins be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
13 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?
12 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$1.00Mar 17, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of March?$1.00Mar 4, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-03-06?$1.00Mar 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?$1.00Mar 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$1.00Mar 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$1.00Mar 4, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$1.00Mar 4, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta be forced to sell Instagram or WhatsApp in 2025?$1.20Mar 4, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$2.08Mar 4, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.78Mar 4, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$4.17Mar 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Oct 5, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.50Aug 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?$1.00Aug 28, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$1.00Aug 28, 16:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".