Demanding-Equal
0x40b7d0b41477e9b11af80da2ee40605b5e359a0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$38.29
Total PnL
$1.49
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
26 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
12 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$11.62
$0.62
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 22?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.00Oct 26, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 22?$1.00Oct 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.99Oct 22, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.00Oct 22, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$2.97Oct 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$1.71Oct 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.32Oct 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$0.91Oct 22, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.35Oct 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$20.29Oct 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.21Oct 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$21.00Oct 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?$4.00Oct 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$3.00Oct 7, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2.00Oct 7, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$20.30Oct 7, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$25.00Oct 7, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$16.00Oct 7, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Oct 7, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $8.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 14:02 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 26, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".