Downright-Railing
0x40ba6c7e8225f7fb93dca295f64c53a4a1c3dc0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-0.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- NO
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-02?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-02?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-02?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Man City win on 2024-11-02?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Everton win on 2024-11-02?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.02Sep 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$246.00Sep 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$246.00Sep 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$246.01Sep 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$79.16Sep 23, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$156.00Sep 23, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch in 2024?$35.20Sep 23, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch in 2024?$35.13Dec 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Dec 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?$21.74Nov 2, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes Racing win the 2024 F1 Constructor's Championship?$21.74Nov 2, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $252.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".