Glossy-Silica
0x40bdbd4fe448767b59bff160490d18a21aea6b9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$6.46
Total PnL
$-376.06
Realised
$-3.40
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 4.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.40
$-5.20
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-6.94
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by March 13?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
483 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
394 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.90
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
328 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.65
- NO
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
300 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
300 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-94.50
- NO
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
277 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-32.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$40.15Jun 3, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$40.00Jun 2, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$35.07Mar 27, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$14.01Mar 24, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.66Mar 23, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$2.30Mar 23, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$0.00Mar 23, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.01Mar 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.36Mar 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Poland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$4.54Mar 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$5.70Mar 23, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$3.33Mar 23, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.42Mar 21, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.15Mar 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.89Mar 21, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.31Mar 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.00Mar 21, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.20Mar 21, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.08Mar 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.16Mar 21, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".