Elated-Repair
0x40c3ab7b90438ebd80bf313f4b0d9c31410df4e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?
69 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
27 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?
23 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-12.90
- YES
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$4.51Jan 31, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$0.91Jan 27, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$5.02Jan 19, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$10.44Jan 19, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$3.79Jan 18, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.06Jan 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$2.73Jan 16, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$3.07Jan 15, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$6.90Jan 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?$0.20Jan 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?$0.42Jan 12, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$4.60Jan 12, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by February 28?$0.27Jan 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$0.79Jan 11, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$2.41Jan 11, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?$1.00Nov 8, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLPenguins vs. Devils$0.92Nov 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$0.82Nov 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.96Nov 8, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$0.98Nov 8, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".