Upbeat-Raft
0x40c3dfb3ef1044e2f43aa1cc8cde822e8a0c4616
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$67.68
Total PnL
$-149.96
Realised
$4.31
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
51 shares @ 78.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$38.72
$-1.28
- YES
Tea FDV above $100M one day after launch
100 shares @ 37.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$15.50
$-22.41
- YES
Tea FDV above $80M one day after launch
52 shares @ 50.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.46
$-12.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
559 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-15.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
295 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
251 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-20.10
- YES
Will BNB reach $1200 in January?
191 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $80M one day after launch$26.79May 27, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTea FDV above $100M one day after launch$39.56May 27, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2.76May 26, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1.35May 26, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$64.83May 26, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?$40.62May 24, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?$51.51May 24, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$97.89May 24, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$99.55May 14, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$9.96Mar 23, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBackpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$20.10Mar 19, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$1.33Mar 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$18.76Mar 18, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.16Mar 18, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$10.00Mar 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.16Jan 15, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $1200 in January?$13.65Jan 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLZama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$2.53Jan 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Jan 13, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.00Jan 12, 17:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 06:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 16:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".