Zany-Spokesman
0x40c465fd6cc6c00aa02e00fb13039c978b8eadbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$364.01
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$-474.33
Win rate
12%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
289 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$281.68
$21.67
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.00
$-5.41
- YES
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13333 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.33
$-76.65
- YES
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?
7250 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-131.82
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3764 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-381.60
- YES
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?
3000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-179.99
- YES
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2500 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-57.50
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2138 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-165.46
- YES
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?
1500 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$666.67Aug 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$104.25Aug 16, 13:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 5, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
12% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
60 closed markets, 12% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $46.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.