Whimsical-Milkshake
0x40c94ccda978fc833640d38a1fc41b4e4c5bccb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$10.61
Total PnL
$0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 17?$10.60Nov 17, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$24.35Nov 17, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madagascar vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?$7.9KNov 17, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madagascar vs. Equatorial Guinea end in a draw?$4.8KNov 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLVermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls$1.4KNov 17, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYVermont Catamounts vs. Buffalo Bulls$11.7KNov 17, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$23.64Nov 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$2.33Nov 12, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 3.5$120.44Nov 12, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?$4.9KNov 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?$14.6KNov 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 3.5$93.94Nov 5, 15:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$93.94Nov 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in October?$93.85Oct 31, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.24Oct 31, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5600 in September?$92.61Oct 2, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Oct 2, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5600 in September?$92.33Sep 25, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.5KSep 25, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brittney Griner win the 2025 WNBA MVP?$1.15Sep 25, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.