Watchful-Decade
0x40cb8a662ed127f1142c4dcc465a10f07bbf1cc0
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$15.79
Total PnL
$-27.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 15-21?
486 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$15.79
$-4.29
- NO
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
176 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?
71 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?
32 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.57
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on August 28?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 25?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ET
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 15-21?$3.47Jun 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 15-21?$17.97Jun 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?$1.73Jun 5, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 6?$3.92Jun 5, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.03May 31, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans$0.36May 31, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans$2.05May 31, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans$3.07May 31, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 5?$1.00Feb 5, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 5?$1.57Feb 5, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$1.00Jan 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2PM ET$1.56Jan 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.57Jan 15, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Jan 15, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Jan 15, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$5.87Jan 15, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$3.70Jan 15, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4AM ET$3.70Jan 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 4AM ET$1.78Jan 15, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$1.79Jan 15, 09:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 24, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 14:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.