Rapid-Transition
0x40cc546cb7f1d067696b261027820bfa362b2ac9
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.37
Realised
$10.85
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Shafik out as Columbia President by May 31?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
101 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
98 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- GIANTS
Giants vs. Cowboys
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
54 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
37 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.62
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
37 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.97
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2024$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
11 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$11.97Feb 8, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$3.18Feb 8, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$3.09Feb 6, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.09Dec 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.00Dec 10, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid all time high by December 31?$20.00Nov 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?$10.00Nov 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$1.68Nov 2, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.69Oct 31, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.99Oct 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.99Oct 27, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$8.70Oct 27, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTitans vs. Colts$8.70Oct 27, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTitans vs. Colts$8.45Oct 26, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$8.44Oct 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$7.60Oct 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLLions vs. Chiefs$7.60Oct 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Chiefs$7.31Oct 13, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLLions vs. Chiefs$7.31Oct 13, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Chiefs$62.85Oct 13, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $33.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 18:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".