Direct-Downturn
0x40cd41e504933547c524d8f80f1ad0f97178627f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2042 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Suns
1780 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-925.73
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?
776 shares @ 75.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-587.21
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
402 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-217.22
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Spurs
316 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- FONSECA
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?
278 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-230.96
- SONEGO
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedev
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?
76 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-21.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?$9.00Jan 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?$9.95Jan 11, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?$57.56Jan 11, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?$587.21Jan 10, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Suns$925.73Jan 10, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLThunder vs. Grizzlies$925.72Jan 10, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Grizzlies$213.13Jan 10, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$213.14Jan 9, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$132.28Jan 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?$132.27Jan 9, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?$462.78Jan 9, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC win on 2026-01-08?$21.97Jan 8, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?$21.97Jan 8, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?$241.68Jan 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?$241.68Jan 6, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?$193.54Jan 6, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?$193.54Jan 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?$108.49Jan 6, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4AM ET$47.01Jan 6, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$20.00Jan 6, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $182.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 16:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.