Sweltering-Guard
0x40cd45f803310f474f70b1edb1c8554363565c75
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$-16.76
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
665 shares @ 62.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-417.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
610 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-347.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
512 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-309.17
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
461 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-228.16
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
410 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-195.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
388 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-223.25
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
388 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-248.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
327 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-186.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
320 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-123.80
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
313 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-161.01
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$7.67Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$3.52Jun 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$4.18Jun 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$1.98Jun 21, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$3.39Jun 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.96Jun 21, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.45Jun 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$6.88Jun 21, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$3.58Jun 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.97Jun 21, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.58Jun 21, 07:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.