Scarce-Pretzel
0x40cd52b4e6e9b48c4b9680f83667e88117c4f6d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.44
Total PnL
$-6.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$-0.06
- NO
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-01?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMHalle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch$1.02Jun 14, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?$0.00Jun 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch$1.00Jun 14, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?$1.02Jun 14, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?$1.00Mar 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$2.08Mar 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?$2.13Mar 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-03-01?$1.00Mar 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.50Jan 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.01Jan 25, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMIs Earth flat?$13.25Jan 25, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Dec 17, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.08Dec 17, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dell say "Dell Pro Max" during earnings call?$1.37Dec 17, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$1.37Dec 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$1.00Nov 25, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 25, 13:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 07:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.