Flawed-Pension
0x40d6ad7c03569bffa5d448cd47b472a26b1a1935
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-281.59
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 9?
90 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 15?
60 shares @ 86.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-51.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 5?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on June 9?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-29.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?
43 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 10?
40 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 7?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?
40 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?$0.80Jun 18, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?$0.84Jun 18, 05:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?$0.00Jun 18, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 17?$2.83Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$6.75Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?$9.99Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?$4.87Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?$10.00Jun 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 17?$2.55Jun 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?$6.34Jun 17, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?$7.70Jun 17, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?$9.39Jun 17, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?$4.19Jun 17, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?$10.00Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 16?$10.00Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 16?$9.25Jun 17, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 04:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.