Firm-Passenger
0x40de90aaf8e98bb7187b2320d5f14b75f4f766bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-40.90
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 15?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$198.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 13?
120 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$119.83
$1.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.95
$1.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13?
100 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$99.95
$2.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$99.70
$1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$95.55
$-2.35
- SCOTLAND
Spread: Haiti (-1.5)
100 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$94.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?
91 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$90.78
$3.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?
86 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$82.13
$3.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?
77 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$76.93
$2.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?$16.45Jun 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 15?$37.50Jun 13, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 13?$3.68Jun 13, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 15?$14.86Jun 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 13?$62.40Jun 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 15?$49.48Jun 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on June 15?$79.44Jun 13, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13?$74.41Jun 13, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 15?$18.25Jun 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 15?$30.28Jun 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?$24.52Jun 13, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 13?$36.84Jun 13, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15?$98.00Jun 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 15?$98.57Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 15?$98.57Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Haiti (-1.5)$95.14Jun 13, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-2.5)$28.72Jun 13, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-2.5)$20.78Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$47.04Jun 13, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $40.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.