Quixotic-Payee
0x40dfd4429bafeaab1b6004826f5c01a3c2aaffed
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-34.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?
1369 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
183 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Hillary say "Secretary" during her Epstein testimony?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?
58 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 5, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$1.00Mar 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Plane" during her Epstein testimony?$10.00Mar 5, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "Secretary" during her Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 3, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?$1.00Mar 3, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 3, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 3, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 3, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 5, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.