Simplistic-Clause
0x40e1d00d3a43af1c4f215bd7a1039cc792ad973f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-205.6K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2007 shares @ 74.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$494.11
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4762 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$595.24
$-404.76
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
279814 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-150.0K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
98781 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.0K
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
11497 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
2981 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2756 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by September 30?
968 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- RED SOX
Yankees vs. Red Sox
227 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$507.95May 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$346.69May 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$508.40May 30, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$625.12May 30, 08:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $454.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.