0x40ef6c39542a1b4c0238bad575aa3a2083c122ca
0x40ef6c39542a1b4c0238bad575aa3a2083c122ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.94
Total PnL
$-8.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
105 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$0.82Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$1.00Jan 3, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$2.40Jan 3, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.00Dec 20, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.00Dec 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$2.00Dec 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by December 31, 2026?$3.00Dec 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by February 28, 2026?$1.00Dec 19, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.