Feisty-Doll
0x40f3cf4bf13f88cdfc79e125c7a01b495acf6d96
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.10
Total PnL
$-11.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- NO
Kraken IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Paradex FDV above $10B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will TurkXBT win the Defi App trading competition?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will only OP_CAT be activated in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$1.00Dec 26, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.60 in November?$1.00Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.30 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $4.20 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMKinetiq FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena reach $0.70 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?$1.01Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?$1.02Dec 26, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 28, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$1.00Nov 28, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.0KNov 28, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.0KNov 28, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$500.00Nov 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$500.00Nov 28, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.0KNov 28, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.50Nov 28, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $166.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.