Second-Hand-Fifth
0x40fc21652dc9348a24a9857f498ec19af93f6460
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$35.36
Total PnL
$-207.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?
21 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$8.33
$3.33
- NO
Will Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$5.68
$0.68
- NO
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
2889 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.30
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
1566 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?
483 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?
139 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
US recession in 2025?
115 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?
108 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?
98 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill $Trump FDV be $10-15b on Feb 1?$0.00Feb 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $5-10b on Feb 1?$3.20Jan 22, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $Trump FDV be $10-15b on Feb 1?$5.10Jan 22, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.10Jan 22, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by January 31, 2025?$3.10Jan 21, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.90Jan 21, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?$2.80Jan 21, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$7.30Jan 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$17.20Jan 21, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$29.20Jan 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Jan 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman settle with his sister before April?$5.00Jan 21, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$31.00Jan 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?$22.00Jan 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire in 2025?$19.00Jan 21, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?$14.00Jan 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?$10.00Jan 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon be worth $500b before March?$28.00Jan 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$10.00Jan 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.00Jan 21, 20:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $11.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.