Tremendous-Referendum
0x40fd04ada25e7506e448b8b8defedbc3a9e47765
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$968.11
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-11.45
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?
718 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$717.87
$0.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?
151 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$150.43
$0.08
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 15?
100 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$99.80
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?
2347 shares @ 96.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 11?
576 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-489.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?
439 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-118.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?
318 shares @ 98.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-312.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 2?
71 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on April 4?
53 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 2?
45 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14?$150.37Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C or below on June 15?$99.90Jun 14, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 13?$250.18Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 13?$249.94Jun 13, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?$249.50Jun 12, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 12?$717.55Jun 12, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 12?$249.26Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$966.57Jun 11, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$965.65Jun 11, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 10?$965.65Jun 11, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 10?$964.73Jun 10, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 9?$888.71Jun 9, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9?$76.87Jun 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on June 9?$76.80Jun 9, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 9?$887.78Jun 9, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 8?$350.96Jun 8, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 8?$613.00Jun 8, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 8?$612.42Jun 8, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 8?$350.63Jun 8, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 7?$961.00Jun 7, 16:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $451.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 09:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.