Impossible-Evaluation
0x40fd8533e6beca6f436c49cc35ef823b462cf684
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$9.89
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
335 shares @ 25.8¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.89
$-76.79
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
25344 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-323.44
- YES
Will Can Xue win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?
2000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-199.90
- 76ERS
Hawks vs. 76ers
624 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-412.10
- YES
Will Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?
518 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.14
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?
271 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-140.96
- YES
Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Kamala say "convicted felon" at debate?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
126 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-70.23
- NO
Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?
94 shares @ 69.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-65.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$86.68Dec 2, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$86.68Dec 2, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. 76ers$412.10Nov 30, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTexans vs. Colts$348.13Nov 30, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Colts$100.00Nov 30, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$100.00Nov 30, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Colts$100.00Nov 30, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by December 31?$140.96Oct 24, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Can Xue win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?$199.90Oct 8, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?$97.14Oct 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$423.69Sep 30, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$211.71Sep 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$20.24Sep 28, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$23.09Sep 28, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$120.75Jun 26, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$85.64Jun 26, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$8.06Jun 26, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$9.03Jun 26, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$100.00Jun 26, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Jun 26, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $154.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.