0x410a193463528c28c6fb0300f373dde81563e8b8
0x410a193463528c28c6fb0300f373dde81563e8b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$13.3K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$910.84
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10210 shares @ 82.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$10.2K
$1.8K
- YES
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
3000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$3.0K
$690.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$100.00
$38.00
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
10801 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?
5430 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
5000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
4713 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-951.39
- YES
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
2000 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-460.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?
1064 shares @ 80.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-852.20
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?
1000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-280.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$2.3KOct 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$8.5KOct 31, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$62.00Oct 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$290.00Oct 31, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$282.00Oct 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$640.00Oct 7, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?$141.00Oct 7, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$1.3KOct 7, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025$848.37Oct 7, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$982.16Oct 7, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$2.6KOct 7, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$400.00Oct 1, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$4.5KOct 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?$96.19Sep 23, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$7.0KSep 23, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during Fox & Friends appearance on September 12?$80.80Sep 12, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.7KSep 3, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$268.33Sep 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.3KSep 3, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$219.20Sep 3, 20:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 18:32 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".