Defenseless-Lambkin
0x4110b7162e8a93f9c4e62c6020f5152e68146fba
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
18 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.59Dec 11, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.60Dec 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.63Dec 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$1.63Dec 11, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$4.08Dec 11, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on December 11?$0.27Dec 11, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$3.80Dec 10, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.94Dec 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.94Dec 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.95Dec 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on December 11?$5.00Dec 10, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?$1.00Dec 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$7.34Dec 10, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$5.00Dec 10, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$5.60Dec 10, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 10?$5.95Dec 10, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 10, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 05:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".