Dual-Release
0x4110b7e9e7e09ca333c721ad2a2731fbf1912759
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get 75 million or more views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$1.07May 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$5.06May 20, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.00May 20, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$5.00May 20, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLHamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann$6.14May 20, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann$4.04May 20, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 4?$1.05May 6, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's video get 75 million or more views on day 4?$1.05May 6, 15:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 22:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.