Familiar-Guy
0x41126c11a2a78caf9f1d992d032c3e28b6a5ca7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-469.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 2?
236 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
212 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- NO
Will The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
168 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
166 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?
157 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
151 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?
136 shares @ 98.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-133.33
- YES
Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
130 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
126 shares @ 97.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-121.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$146.23Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$0.40Jun 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?$144.08Jun 3, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$147.84May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 25?$144.14May 24, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$113.83May 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$0.26May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 18?$111.98May 17, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$3.21May 11, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 6 be greater than 2,800,000?$4.94May 11, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?$140.00Apr 27, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 19?$138.46Apr 19, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 14?$139.60Apr 19, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 14?$138.20Apr 14, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 12?$2.40Apr 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$134.55Apr 12, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?$0.00Mar 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$0.05Mar 31, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$0.21Mar 30, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 31?$132.41Mar 30, 18:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $38.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 18:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.