Political-Polarisation
0x411664ae64291aa4f56950732f60d3b5805d18c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
159 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-15.90
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?
120 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
81 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-21.93
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?
23 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.36
- YES
Will Trump say "Elon" 5 or more times at CPAC conference on Saturday?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 450-474 times March 21-28?$15.36Mar 28, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?$4.00Mar 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$2.60Mar 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana ETF approved by July 31?$5.67Mar 20, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$4.17Mar 20, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana ETF approved by July 31?$6.00Mar 19, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5.00Mar 19, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$2.00Mar 19, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast buy TikTok before April?$0.18Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$3.22Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?$4.20Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$14.56Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?$6.01Mar 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 400 or more times March 14-21?$8.85Mar 18, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$5.00Mar 18, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$13.85Mar 14, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$3.40Mar 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?$0.79Mar 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?$1.00Mar 13, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$3.61Mar 13, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 09:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 05:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".