Flawed-Opera
0x411959bf5082b1edac22de8d748d73e7a3ef0764
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.08
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
167 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-11.87
- YES
Will $GOAT be listed first on Binance?
151 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?
16 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Bank of England rate cut in September meeting?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Powell wear a purple tie at FOMC?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$34.83Feb 14, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.32Feb 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $15.00Dec 29, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$17.00Nov 15, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?$17.00Nov 15, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$319.32Oct 11, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.14Sep 8, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.00Aug 16, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?$254.00Aug 16, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Italy - who will advance? $0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Denmark - who will advance? $0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael declares war on Iran in October?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "France" during Pennsylvania rally?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF begins trading by July 4?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2024 Euros?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during CNN interview?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMRomania vs. Netherlands - Who will advance?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high in August?$0.00Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$98.73Dec 5, 07:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $24.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 26, 22:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".