Lovely-Guestbook
0x4119707a59d73eecff318ea9f3fa2ea8249eaaa9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on June 23?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?
319 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.46
- YES
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?
289 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?
218 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 13–20?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on June 22?
170 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 13–20?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on June 22?
110 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 13–20?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 265–279 times June 13–20?
83 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Elon" this week?$0.29Jun 24, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" this week?$0.18Jun 24, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on June 23?$1.00Jun 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on June 23?$0.68Jun 23, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on June 23?$0.22Jun 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?$1.20Jun 23, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?$0.51Jun 23, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?$1.00Jun 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.80Jun 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?$1.00Jun 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 75-76°F on June 23?$0.65Jun 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.11Jun 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.17Jun 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.17Jun 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.17Jun 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.07Jun 23, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.36Jun 23, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.04Jun 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.18Jun 23, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 77°F or higher on June 23?$0.40Jun 23, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 12:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".