Appropriate-Football
0x411ec437a11c5fb30f0093179aa630f109b8a49a
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.10
Realised
$83.79
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will Trump say "border" 35 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13?
250 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-48.50
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during California rally on October 12?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Abortion" during North Carolina rally on October 21?
164 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-21.60
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times during North Carolina rally on October 21?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
120 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 44.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Alexandr Stoianoglo win the 2024 Moldova presidential election?
107 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2024$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?
86 shares @ 64.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-55.65
- YES
Will Trump say "Nayib Bukele" during Arizona rally on October 13?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
JD & Usha Vance divorce before election?
55 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$12.80Nov 23, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Álvaro Delgado win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election?$2.95Nov 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$9.00Nov 16, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$5.00Nov 15, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Elon" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?$5.00Nov 4, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$3.05Nov 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Elon" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?$3.35Nov 2, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "missile defense shield" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Nov 1, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "police" 15 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$5.00Oct 31, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 5 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$5.00Oct 31, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Russia" 5 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$5.00Oct 29, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "New York" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$5.00Oct 29, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "border" 20 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$10.00Oct 29, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pocahontas" during New York rally on October 27?$5.00Oct 29, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Oct 29, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "frack" or "fracking" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Oct 29, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "sanctuary city" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Oct 29, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mars" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Oct 29, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "tax" 25 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?$5.00Oct 29, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMAnkalaev vs. Rakic$5.00Oct 29, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 27, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 19:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.