Clever-Garden-Bloom
0x4121a0aa6806a666ccd19f6ad70d7d8079c8fdfb
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$11.75
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
1112 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
638 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
434 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
410 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
355 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
267 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
265 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
230 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
198 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.62Jul 30, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$12.69Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$10.32Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$40.54Jul 30, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$31.26Jul 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$14.15Jul 30, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$20.70Jul 30, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.35Jul 30, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$32.90Jul 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.38Jul 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.37Jul 30, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.27Jul 30, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$15.88Jul 30, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$10.43Jul 30, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$1.42Jul 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.23Jul 30, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$11.42Jul 30, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$10.28Jul 30, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$25.54Jul 30, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.