Dearest-Register
0x41229a1ccb957259c0d9cc0637b1f53444e95c11
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$860.29
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$8.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
280 shares @ 28.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.80
$50.40
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 72.0¢·now 70.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$105.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1159 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$67.22
$9.27
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
200 shares @ 23.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.00
$19.00
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
72 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$51.19
$0.00
- YES
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
200 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
30 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.85
$1.45
- NO
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
27 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.20
$0.53
- NO
Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
20 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.30
$1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$14.562h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$29.122h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$27.272h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$13.642h ago
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$65.532h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$17.108h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31?$17.308h ago
- TRADEBUYWill American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$17.308h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$5.678h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$8.458h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?$17.108h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?$51.788h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$30.1310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$151.5010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$49.4610h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$47.4210h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$0.3910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$0.3910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$0.3910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$151.5010h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $38.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 55d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".