Dearest-Register
0x41229a1ccb957259c0d9cc0637b1f53444e95c11
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$356.55
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1444 shares @ 16.0¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$270.83
$39.00
- NO
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?
46 shares @ 77.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$38.18
$2.76
- NO
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
35 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.57
$-0.52
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1159 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$17.96
$-39.99
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
2221 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-849.55
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
597 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-336.52
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-415.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
230 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
120 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.24
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO on June 15, 2026?
110 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $59.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.