Tan-Hovercraft
0x4124b6446a35ab3a23e9737e9f32c038c0278af2
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
170
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.1K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 170- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
60349 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?
58711 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 14?
35881 shares @ 46.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.8K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
30483 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
25000 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
24815 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?
24161 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
22685 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 15?
22087 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.8K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14?
18248 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$77.19May 14, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rickie Fowler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$8.24May 14, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$67.57May 14, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$26.10May 11, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.9KMar 28, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$7.0KMar 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?$10.0KMar 28, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 23-29?$6.7KMar 27, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$6.7KMar 27, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$429.00Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$434.17Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$4.69Mar 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$0.03Mar 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$0.03Mar 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$0.03Mar 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$0.15Mar 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers$119.00Mar 20, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$105.00Mar 20, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYQueens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers$0.06Mar 20, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAkron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$243.00Mar 20, 04:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".