Cold-Petticoat
0x41287d859125c283e24a69f5f4cfa244db333511
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.16
Total PnL
$-32.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.16
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?
14100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?
2135 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will SDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 520 and 539 times September 5–12?
1220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?
805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "America / American" 35+ times during his 4th of July remarks?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.37May 20, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 19, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.34May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.17May 8, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 520 and 539 times September 5–12?$1.22Sep 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$14.10Jul 31, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.00Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$1.00Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $1.01Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.41Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$1.45Jul 31, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?$1.00Jul 3, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill "F1" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $43M?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $220 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMCubs vs. Astros$3.77Jul 2, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 20% and 25%?$2.00Jun 27, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".