Warmhearted-Limb
0x4129257dfcee00f348bc7b3ffd8c32906de9ced6
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$38.63
Total PnL
$-735.60
Realised
$71.39
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$12.20
$7.20
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
94 shares @ 31.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.80
$-19.20
- YES
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.60
$-23.40
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 37.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.84
$-3.46
- YES
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.19
$-6.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on October 25?
19000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2629 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 26?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on November 10?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on June 11?$5.21Jun 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on June 11?$5.19Jun 11, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$5.28Jun 11, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on May 21?$5.08Jun 5, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$8.57Jun 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on May 21?$3.09May 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 21?$3.14May 21, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$58.82Apr 30, 09:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $0.00Mar 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$0.00Mar 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on November 22?$0.00Mar 23, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on November 23?$0.00Mar 23, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on March 21?$2.14Mar 22, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 21?$1.00Mar 21, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?$4.24Mar 20, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?$2.00Mar 19, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?$1.00Mar 19, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.