Smoggy-Decadence
0x4129b8ce80eb18e4315fad0c202bcf8940d04dc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$294.02
Total PnL
$-284.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?
4400 shares @ 1.1¢·now 4.8¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$209.01
$161.68
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?
3811 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$13.34
$-6.66
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.50
$0.50
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.35
$-1.65
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
433 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.27
$-12.73
- YES
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
667 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?$1.98Jun 3, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?$21.39Jun 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?$21.38Jun 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 4?$27.25Jun 3, 20:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?$11.08Jun 2, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 3?$11.76Jun 2, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 3?$11.77Jun 2, 19:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$20.59May 30, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?$9.93May 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?$11.33May 30, 18:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $60 in May?$10.37May 28, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in May?$11.77May 28, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$1.07May 28, 17:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".