Blue-Text
0x412d525c4bf5a4036141b4f8a97ea68d7c962aad
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$92.28
Total PnL
$-18.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?
92 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$92.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 15?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
950 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 3?
933 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?
570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
259 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4,400 on October 22?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 5?$92.02Jun 5, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$92.09Jun 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026?$92.00May 25, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$92.09May 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?$92.01May 21, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?$92.09May 21, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?$92.00May 14, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?$92.09May 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 10?$92.01May 9, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.09May 9, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.00May 5, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$92.09May 5, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 27?$92.00Apr 27, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 24?$92.09Apr 27, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 24?$92.00Apr 24, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?$92.09Apr 24, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on April 19?$92.00Apr 19, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on April 19?$1.20Apr 19, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16?$93.09Apr 19, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 16?$93.00Apr 16, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $83.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 05:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".